EXCLUSIVE POLL: Romney holds slight Michigan lead over Obama

With only about five months to go before Election Day, the race for the White House is neck-and-neck between President Barack Obama and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. 

According to the latest EPIC MRA poll, the momentum is clearly on the side of Michigan native Romney.  

If the General  Election were held today, 46-percent of 600 likely voters would cast their ballot for Romney, and 45-percent would vote to re-elect Obama. 

In a statewide poll conducted last month, President Obama was leading Governor Romney,  47-percent to 43-percent.  

A slowdown in the economy and heavy commercial advertising attacks on behalf of the Republican candidate are taking their toll on the Democratic incumbent.   WXYZ-TV/Detroit Free Press Pollster Bernie Porn said, "These numbers show that President Obama and his supporters in Michigan had better get their act together.  If this trend continues, they won't be able to recover."

Michigan voters surveyed in the exclusive EPIC MRA poll are giving Obama a 58-percent negative job performance rating. 

Forty-one percent say he is doing a good job. 

In April of this year, 55-percent gave Obama a negative rating, and 44-percent approved of his leadership.  However, it's not all doom and gloom for the President. When respondents were told about his stance on same sex marriage and his strong support for auto industry loans, Obama regained a one-point advantage over Romney, 46-percent to 45-percent.

The poll conducted by the well established Lansing-based polling firm, also showed that Tea Party supporters in Michigan gained slight support in June compared to last month, and that U.S. Senator Debbie Stabenow is stretching out her lead over likely GOP challenger Pete Hoekstra from west Michigan. 

This most recent EPIC MRA poll was conducted June 2 – 5, a few days prior to the historic gubernatorial recall election in Wisconsin.  It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.0-percent.

 

See poll results below:

 

For each one, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person.  

 

Barack Obama - June 2012

Total Favorable: 46%

Total Unfavorable: 46%

Undecided: 8%

 

Rick Snyder - June 2012

Total Favorable:  48%

Total Unfavorable: 37%

Undecided: 15%

 

Mitt Romney - June 2012

Total Favorable: 41%

Total Unfavorable:  43%

Undecided: 16%

 

Debbie Stabenow  - June 2012  

Total Favorable:  46%

Total Unfavorable: 41%

Undecided: 12%

 

Pete Hoekstra – June 2012

Total Favorable: 24%

Total Unfavorable: 23%

Undecided: 35%

 

Overall, how would you rate the job being done by Barack Obama as President -- would you give him a positive rating of excellent or pretty good, or a negative rating of just fair or poor?

June 2012

Total Positive: 41%

Total Negative: 58%

Undecided: 1%

 

Overall, how would you rate the job Rick Snyder has done as Michigan's Governor – would you give him a positive rating of excellent or pretty good, or a negative rating of just fair or poor?

Total Positive: 45%

Total Negative: 52%

Undecided: 3%

 

How would you rate the job Debbie Stabenow has done as Michigan United States Senator – would you give her a positive rating of excellent or pretty good, or a negative rating of just fair or poor?

 

June 2012:

Total Positive: 43%

Total Negative: 49%

Undecided: 8%

 

Thinking about Michigan's economy, do you believe the economy in Michigan?

June 2012:

58% Has already bottomed out and is starting to improve

23% Is at the bottom but is not yet getting any better

16% Has not yet bottomed out and will still get worse

  3% Undecided

 

If the election for President were held today, would you vote for Mitt Romney the Republican or Barack Obama the Democrat?

Total Obama: 45%

Total Romney: 46%

Undecided: 9%

If the election for U.S Senate were held today and the candidates were Debbie Stabenow and Pete Hoekstra, would you vote for Pete Hoekstra the Republican or Debbie Stabenow the Democrat?

Total Stabenow: 49%

Total Hoekstra: 38%

Undecided: 13%

 

As you may know, President Barack Obama recently announced that he favors allowing same sex gay and lesbian couples to legally marry. Does President Obama's position on same sex marriage make you more likely to vote for him, less likely to vote for him, or, would you say that his support on the one issue of same sex marriage won't really influence your decision of how to vote, one way or the other?

Total More Likely: 12%

Total Less Likely: 34%

Undecided: 1%

 

As you may know, Mitt Romney opposed having the federal government provide loans to help any of the auto companies avoid bankruptcy. Knowing this, does Mitt Romney's opposition to federal government loans for General Motors and Chrysler make you more likely to vote for

him, less likely to vote for him, or, would you say that his position on this one issue against government loans for the auto companies won't really influence you one way or the other?

Total More Likely: 18%

Total Less Likely: 39%

Undecided: 2%

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